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According to the Apollo chief economist, that's because current strength stems from high debt loads, both among US consumers and the corporate world. Slok pointed out that delinquencies are rising on credit cards and auto loans, despite an economy with low unemployment. But while that keeps a hard landing on the table, the next few quarters will still deliver solid performance, he said. Advertisement"We still have behind us a very strong tailwind. We still have strong spending in the pipeline from the Chips Act, Inflation Reduction Act, the Infrastructure Act."
Persons: , Torsten Slok, Slok Organizations: Service, Apollo, Business, Bloomberg, Fitch, Reserve Locations: headwinds
“The move into wedding wear makes sense so long as it’s not a distraction from their core business,” Stichter said. “For these bridal collections to land with Gen Z, It’s important that these brands tap into the way that Gen Z shops. Gen Z is always online, but 97% of US Gen Z still shop in-store,” Rees said. With wedding dresses in particular, one trend that emerged during the pandemic was the popularity of black wedding gowns. Boot Barn has a new western-themed wedding collection of bridal dresses, cowboy boots, hats and accessories priced mostly at $400 and below.
Persons: Gen Zers, Taylor Swift, , Janine Stichter, Millennials, ” Stichter, ” Carey Collins Krug, , won’t, Allyson Rees, Gen Z, ” Rees, Gen, they’re, Rees, it’s, ” Lisa Zlotnick, “ There’s, Isha Nicole, ” Nicole Organizations: New, New York CNN, Abercrombie, Fitch, Abercrombie & Fitch Co, CNN, Locations: New York, California, Los Angeles, Las Vegas
But now that extra spending money is gone, economists are concerned about what comes next. That means many Americans have more debt than savings and suggests “that American households fully spent their pandemic-era savings as of March 2024,” they wrote in a recent report. Consumer spending plays a crucial role in driving economic growth in the United States, and it has shown remarkable strength over the past two years. “A continuing strong labor market could help consumers maintain spending patterns similar to those observed recently, even without pandemic-era savings,” they wrote. What comes next: Disney, Airbnb, Uber, Anheuser-Busch, Tapestry and Dillards all report later this week — investors will look for any comments about how consumer spending, or lack thereof, is altering revenue forecasts for 2024.
Persons: Hamza Abdelrahman, Luiz Edgard Oliveira, , Austan Goolsbee, ’ ”, Fitch, Sarah Wyeth, Chris Kempczinski, Abdelrahman, Airbnb, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Greg Abel, Buffett, , Abel, isn’t, Boeing “, Scott Stocker, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, San Francisco Federal Reserve, Chicago Federal, Society for, , Shoppers, Tyson Foods, , Disney, Anheuser, Busch, Berkshire, International Monetary Fund, Industries, Nvidia, Microsoft, FAA, Boeing, Federal Aviation Administration, CNN Locations: New York, United States, Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, scamming
CNN —José Raúl Mulino, a rightwing former public security minister, was declared the “unofficial” winner of Panama’s presidential election on Sunday, the country’s electoral court confirmed. “I receive with joy these results, which are the will of the majority of the Panamanian people in our democracy, which I assume with great responsibility and humility as a Panamanian,” Mulino said during his victory speech. He originally ran as the vice-presidential candidate of former President Ricardo Martinelli. After a court sentenced Martinelli to 11 years in prison for money laundering, Mulino moved to the top of the ticket. “To Ricardo Martinelli: my friend, mission accomplished Ricardo.
Persons: Mulino, Ricardo Lombana, ” Mulino, Ricardo Martinelli, Martinelli, , Ricardo, , Matias Delacroix, Fitch, Panama that’s, El Nino Organizations: CNN, Central Locations: Central American, Panamanian, Nicaraguan, Panama’s, Panama City, Panama, Venezuela, Colombia
HTRB saw a total return last year of 7.15%, and ranked in the 23rd percentile among its peers, according to Morningstar. The portfolio has 51% of its assets in mortgage-backed securities and 25% in investment-grade credit, according to the fund's website. Compared to many of its peers in the intermediate core plus bond Morningstar category, Hartford Total Return Bond ETF leans a bit more on securitized markets instead of investment-grade corporate debt, according to Morningstar. Finding opportunities Right now, one of the areas Goodman sees value in is agency mortgage-backed securities. Goodman also likes structured finance right now, like collateralized loan obligations, commercial mortgage-backed securities and nonagency residential mortgage-backed securities.
Persons: Campe Goodman, Morningstar, Goodman, HTRB, Morningstar . Goodman, Mike Mulach, Bonds, Fitch Organizations: Hartford, SEC, Wellington, Bloomberg U.S, Morningstar, BB, Poor's, Federal Reserve Locations: Wellington, Eastern Europe
Achieving Goals presidential candidate José Raúl Mulino speaks with reporters after meeting with members of the Electoral Observation Mission, in Panama City, Wednesday, May 1, 2024. The case of former President Ricardo Martinelli, who was disqualified from running by the courts because of a past corruption conviction, stands out. Once the favorite to win this year’s presidential race, Martinelli was disqualified from running by Panama’s electoral court in March because of the conviction and sentence. There are seven other presidential candidates, including current Vice-President José Gabriel Carrizo, former President Martín Torrijos, and Rómulo Roux, another former minister under Martinelli. Martinelli has thrown his support behind Mulino, even releasing campaign videos from inside the Nicaraguan embassy.
Persons: Daniel Zovatto, El Nino, Fitch, , José Raúl, José Raúl Mulino, Matias Delacroix, Mulino, Panama that’s, Ricardo Martinelli, Martinelli, José Gabriel Carrizo, Martín Torrijos, Rómulo Roux, Organizations: CNN, Central, Latin America, Wilson, Americas Society, Panamanian, Gallup, Nicaraguan Locations: Panama, Central American, Panama City, United States, Venezuela, Panamanian, Colombia, Mulino, Americas, Nicaragua’s, Nicaraguan
Hundreds of small and regional banks across the U.S. are feeling stressed. "You could see some banks either fail or at least, you know, dip below their minimum capital requirements," Christopher Wolfe, managing director and head of North American banks at Fitch Ratings, told CNBC. Consulting firm Klaros Group analyzed about 4,000 U.S. banks and found 282 banks face the dual threat of commercial real estate loans and potential losses tied to higher interest rates. "That means there'll be fewer bank failures. For individuals, the consequences of small bank failures are more indirect.
Persons: Christopher Wolfe, They're, Brian Graham, Graham, Sheila Bair Organizations: Fitch, CNBC, Consulting, Klaros, U.S . Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, FDIC Locations: U.S
Municipal governments across the United States are looking to rein in spending as pandemic-era stimulus dries up and inflation lingers for longer than expected. The group issued a AA investment grade general obligation bond rating for New York City in March 2024. The financial challenges within cities appear to be mounting despite high municipal credit ratings and robust demand for urban commodities like housing. "I think we can all agree that we're broke," said Houston Mayor John Whitmire in a March 2024 City Council budget hearing. Meanwhile, in the case of New York City, leaders remain optimistic about future returns.
Persons: Michael Rinaldi, Brad Lander, Sheila Weinberg, we're, Houston Mayor John Whitmire, Weinberg, We've, Lander, Eric Adams, Rinaldi, Adams Organizations: Fitch, AA, New, Truth, University of Denver, New York, Apple, Houston Mayor, Accounting, CNBC, Lander Locations: United States, U.S, New York City, Chicago, Houston, Portland , Oregon, New York
Commercial foreclosures jumped 117% year-to-date in March, data from ATTOM shows. AdvertisementThe commercial real estate market is still struggling, made all the more clear by the rapid upswing in property foreclosures. Foreclosure activity jumped by 117% year-over-year in March, real estate data provider ATTOM reported on Wednesday. While high, commercial foreclosures are still under a 2014 peak of 889. AdvertisementEarlier this month, Fitch Ratings warned of a rising global contagion risk from commercial real-estate losses.
Persons: , moratoriums, it's, delinquencies, Jamie Woodwell Organizations: Service, Mortgage Bankers Association, Real, Fitch
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Sometimes the market just wants to come down even if the bonds are better," Jim Cramer said Wednesday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, we're, Abbott, We'll, Cramer, bode, Kinder, homebuilder D.R, Horton, Blackstone, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, United Airlines, UnitedHealth, Abbott Labs, Abbott Laboratories, Wall, Nvidia, Arm Holdings, Abercrombie, Fitch, Barclays, Broadcom, HSBC, Biotech, CSX, Alcoa, Alaska Air, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: what's
What’s most provocative about “Brandy Hellville & the Cult of Fast Fashion” (streaming on Max), and about the horror show it contends is behind the immensely popular cheap-clothing retailer Brandy Melville, isn’t necessarily its content. Other documentaries have tread similar ground with similar methods — the Netflix documentary “White Hot: The Rise & Fall of Abercrombie & Fitch,” for instance — which is to say that everything in “Brandy Hellville” has been reported before. Documentary participants allege that the company and its leaders, especially co-founder and owner Stephan Marsan, engaged in a host of terrible behaviors ranging from fat-shaming and exploitative practices to really awful racism and sexism. You can read about it all, of course; what the documentary provides is a host of eyewitnesses, including girls who worked in the store as teenagers and men who worked closely with the company to open new stores. Experts and activists also attest to the threat that fast fashion (that is, inexpensive, essentially disposable clothing sold at retailers like Zara, H&M, Shein and Forever 21) poses to global economies and the environment.
Persons: Brandy Hellville, Brandy Melville, isn’t, Abercrombie &, , Brandy Hellville ”, Stephan Marsan, Abercrombie Organizations: Netflix, Abercrombie, Abercrombie & Fitch Locations: Zara
Businesses should continue to focus on China and explore opportunities to expand their presence in the world's second-largest economy, Singapore Minister for Trade and Industry Gan Kim Yong said Friday. China had briefly entered deflation territory late last year, and is still struggling with a debt-laden real estate sector. However, "if you take a deeper look, when I engaged the businesses and the people on the ground, I think the sense it gives me is that China's fundamentals are strong," Gan said on CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." The country's investments in infrastructure will also put it in a good position to recover in the longer term, Gan added. "So I think in the meantime, in the immediate future, they will see headwinds, but I think in the longer term, the fundamentals remain strong."
Persons: Industry Gan Kim Yong, China, Fitch, Gan Organizations: Singapore Minister, Trade, Industry, Moody's Locations: China, Singapore
Foreign-born workers are leading the increase in the US labor force, Fitch Ratings said. But a simple explanation could lie in US immigration trends, as a surge of foreign-born workers is propelling labor expansion, Fitch Ratings reported on Thursday. "The foreign-born labor participation rate is 66%, more than the native-born participation rate of 62%." AdvertisementBut while higher immigration flows should keep labor momentum going through this year, Fitch also cautioned that it risks an oversupply. Still, migrants' contribution to labor has significantly boosted economic growth, Fitch said, a point shared by previous research.
Persons: Fitch, , Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Olu Sonola Organizations: Service, Fitch, Wall Street, JPMorgan Locations: U.S, hirings
A more intense trade war between the US and China is unavoidable, China Beige Book's Shehzad Qazi said. China would have many ways to sidestep heightened US restrictions in the event of a new trade war, Shehzad Qazi. AdvertisementA fiercer trade war between the US and China is inevitable, no matter who wins the presidential election in November, a top China expert said. "Our view is we're headed toward another trade war, regardless of who's president next year. Even in the face of a more aggressive trade war with the US, China has ways to skirt any restrictions, the COO said .
Persons: Qazi, Janet Yellen's, Shehzad Qazi, , They're, Trump, Yellen, That's, Fitch Organizations: Service, Communist Party Locations: China, Beijing, Mexico
Here's why Harris' Alex Fitch favors Kenvue
  + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Harris' Alex Fitch favors KenvueAlex Fitch, Harris Associates director of U.S. Research, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Fitch's investment thesis towards Delta Air Lines, whether investors are not supposed to buy cyclical stocks at peak earnings, and more.
Persons: Harris, Alex Fitch, Kenvue Alex Fitch Organizations: Harris Associates, U.S . Research, Delta Air Lines
Hong Kong CNN —Fitch downgraded its outlook on China’s credit rating on Tuesday, citing increasing risks to its finances as it faces economic challenges. Lowering its outlook from stable to negative does not automatically mean the ratings agency will downgrade China’s creditworthiness, but it increases the chances. Fitch has kept its rating on Chinese sovereign bonds at A+. Fitch believes the general government deficit will rise to 7.1% of gross domestic product in 2024 from 5.8% last year. In December, rival ratings agency Moody’s downgraded its outlook on China’s credit rating from stable to negative, citing risks related to “structurally and persistently lower medium-term economic growth” and ongoing troubles in its property sector.
Persons: Hong Kong CNN — Fitch, China’s, Fitch, , Moody’s Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Finance, Fitch Locations: China, Hong Kong
For fiscal year 2023, credit card revenue totaled $619 million for Macy's and approximately $475 million for Nordstrom . The three companies do not break out how much of total credit card revenue comes from late fees. All of that adds up to dwindling credit card revenue for retailers, who can now expect to see it shrink even further. Target's credit card revenue fell to $667 million last year, down from $734 million in the prior fiscal year. Gap does not disclose credit card revenue, but its Chief Financial Officer, Katrina O'Connell, said on an earnings call that losses from late fees will be "largely offset in 2024 by other levers within our credit card program."
Persons: Robert Nickelsberg, it'll, Jane Hali, Kohl's, David Silverman, Silverman, , Michael Fiddelke, Macy's, Adrian Mitchell, It's, Nordstrom, Katrina O'Connell Organizations: Getty Images Department, Consumer Financial, Bureau, Associates, Nordstrom, Fitch, TD Bank, Shoppers, Adobe Analytics, Citi, Sam's Locations: New York City
Morgan Stanley raises Nvidia price target to $1,000 per share from $795. Goldman Sachs' semiconductor readthroughs from Google's conference: Arm positive, Nvidia mild positive, Advanced Micro Devices mild negative, Intel mild negative. Barclays raises Club name Ford price target to $16 per share from $15. Other price target raises on Club names on Wall Street: Danaher , DuPont and Wynn Resorts . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Dow, Thomas Kurian, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, Ed Bastian, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Nasdaq, Core CPI, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Google, Club, Broadcom, Gaudi, Barclays, Ford, DuPont, Wynn Resorts, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Fitch, China
Read previewFitch Ratings has cut its outlook for China, adding to the gloom surrounding the world's second-largest economy. It cut its outlook from "stable" to "negative," but maintained its overall rating at "A+." The move comes after Moody's Investor Services, another major credit-rating agency, also downgraded its outlook for China to "negative" in December. As a result Fitch expects economic growth to fall to 4.5% for 2024. The ratings agency said policymakers will probably have no choice but to borrow to address its economic woes.
Persons: , Fitch, Fitch's Organizations: Service, Business, Moody's Investor Services, Analysts, St Louis Federal Reserve, CSI Locations: China, Beijing
The aerial view shows residential buildings under construction in Hangzhou, China on March 15, 2024. Ratings agency Fitch revised its outlook on China's sovereign credit rating to negative on Tuesday, citing risks to public finances as the economy faced increasing uncertainty in its shift to new growth models. Fitch forecast the general government deficit would rise to 7.1% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024 from 5.8% in 2023, the highest since a reading of 8.6% in 2020, when Beijing's strict Covid curbs weighed heavily on the world's No. While it lowered its outlook, indicating a downgrade is possible over the medium term, the agency affirmed China's IDR rating at "A+." Fitch forecast China's economic growth would slow to 4.5% in 2024 from 5.2% last year, in contrast to Citi and the International Monetary Fund, which both revised up their China forecasts.
Persons: Fitch, China's Organizations: Citi, International Monetary Fund Locations: Hangzhou, China
– Middleton was sentenced in state court to 20 years in prison, which will run concurrently with his federal sentence of 17.5 years. – Opdyke was sentenced in state court to 20 years in prison, to run concurrently with his federal sentence of 17.5 years. – Hartfield was sentenced in state court to 15 years in prison, to run concurrently with his federal sentence of 10 years. – Dedmon was sentenced in state court to 25 years in prison, to run concurrently with his federal sentence of 40 years. – McAlpin was sentenced in state court to 20 years in prison, to run concurrently with his federal sentence of just over 27 years.
Persons: Michael Jenkins, Eddie Parker, – Hunter Elward, Brett McAlpin, Christian Dedmon, Daniel Opdyke, Jeffrey Middleton –, Joshua Hartfield, Jenkins, Malik Shabazz, , Eddie, Hunter Elward, ” Jenkins, ” Eddie Terrell Parker, Michael Corey Jenkins, Rogelio V . Solis, Dedmon, Elward, – Elward, – Middleton, – Opdyke, – Hartfield, – Dedmon, – McAlpin, Brandon –, Parker, Opdyke –, Lynn Fitch, Middleton, ” picturing, Angela English, , Sheriff Bryan Bailey, Jason Dare, Bailey, jailers, Fitch, Eddie Terrell Parker, ” Fitch, CNN’s Devon Sayers, Ryan Young Organizations: Mississippi CNN —, Richland Police Department, NAACP, Confederate, Justice, Rankin County Sheriff’s Department, Department of Justice, Sheriff’s Department, CNN, Civil Rights Unit Locations: Brandon, Mississippi, Rankin, Rankin County, Braxton, McAlpin, Middleton, Opdyke, Jackson
Alan Ritchson says he was sexually assaulted by a photographer years ago as a model. The "Reacher" star described modeling as "legalized sex trafficking." Advertisement"Reacher" star Alan Ritchson says he was sexually assaulted during a photo shoot when he was a model and also described the modeling industry as "legalized sex trafficking." I was sexually assaulted by this guy," the actor recalled. The modeling industry can be hugely lucrative, and some celebrities have made vast fortunes out of their image.
Persons: Alan Ritchson, , Jack Reacher, Lee Child, Ritchson, Jock, coy, Kendall Jenner Organizations: Service, Abercrombie, Fitch, Hollywood, Stone Locations: LA
Yields may be down from last year's highs, but there is still plenty for income investors to like about investment-grade corporate bonds, according to UBS. The effective yield on the ICE BofA U.S. Corporate Bond Index , which tracks the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate debt, is currently hovering around 5.5%. "This measures IG's return over duration-matched Treasuries, meaning that it's been advantageous to own IG over U.S. government bonds," he added. Inside the investment grade market, UBS prefers the financial sector over nonfinancial issuers, and favors short- and intermediate-term duration. Meanwhile, the spread pickup from A-rated bonds to BBB-rated bonds is historically tight, on average.
Persons: Barry McAlinden, McAlinden, Fitch Organizations: UBS, ICE, Corporate, ., Treasury, Poor's
Rapid productivity improvement is the dream for both companies and economic policymakers. If output per hour holds steady, firms must either sacrifice profits or raise prices to pay for wage increases or investment projects. Economies experiencing productivity booms can experience rapid wage gains and quick growth without as much risk of rapid inflation. — especially generative A.I., which is still in its infancy — has spread enough to show up in productivity data already. “may” have the potential to increase productivity growth, “but probably not in the short run.” John C. Williams, president of the New York Fed, has made similar remarks, specifically citing the work of the Northwestern University economist Robert Gordon.
Persons: Jerome H, Powell, ” John C, Williams, Robert Gordon Organizations: Ben, Abercrombie, Fitch’s, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Northwestern University
Meanwhile, Micron got a price target increase from Bank of America, which sees the chipmaker surging more than 20%. 7:08 a.m.: Jefferies raises forecast on Target Jefferies thinks improving consumer discretionary trends should boost Target shares. The firm increased its price target on the stock to $205 from $195, implying shares gaining 16% from where they closed on Thursday. He upgraded shares to overweight from equal weight and increased his price target by $13 to $59. The bank also revised its bull case price target to $110 from $90, implying upside of nearly 130%.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Target Jefferies, Corey Tarlowe, Jefferies, Tarlowe, TGT's, — Hakyung Kim, Wells, Roger Read, Read, Hakyung Kim, Brandon Oglenski, Hunt, Robinson, Werner, Oglenski, Anthony Cassamassino, Vivek Arya, Arya, , Morgan, DAL, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Delta Air Lines, Micron, Bank of America, Jefferies, Target, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, EOG Resources, Barclays, J.B, C.H, Werner Enterprises, Bank of America's, Microsoft, Meta, Next, 2Q, Spotify, Citigroup, Marvell, Devices, TAM, Abercrombie, Fitch's Locations: Wells Fargo, Devon, Delaware, Q2'24, Thursday's, DAL
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